I made a table that helps compare an estimate of registered APIA voters against the margin of victory in the presidential race. I’ll be updating this table throughout the night as the returns come in.
Last updated: 1:00AM EST (last update of the night)
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APIA Demographics |
2012 Polling |
2012 Returns |
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| % Pop. | Estimated # Registered Voters | Obama % | Romney % | Margin % | Margin (# Voters) | Obama (%) | Obama (# Voters | Romney (%) | Romney (# Voters) | Margin (# Voters) | Precincts Reporting (%) | |
| National (popular) | 5.6 | 9,526,471 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 1,293,917 | 50 | 59,971,000 | 48 | 57,304,000 | 2,667,000 | 98 |
| Virginia | 5.8 | 258,282 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 36,845 | 50 | 1,797,511 | 48 | 1,731,867 | 44,000 | 100 |
| Nevada | 7.7 | 115,332 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 28,397 | 52 | 529,000 | 46 | 462,000 | 67,000 | 93 |
| Colorado | 2.9 | 81,613 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 47,243 | 51 | 1,231,000 | 47 | 1,120,000 | 111,000 | 90 |
| Florida | 2.4 | 251,560 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 83,277 | 50 | 4,138,000 | 49 | 4,091,000 | 47,000 | 97 |
| Iowa | 1.9 | 32,001 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 45,340 | 52 | 816,000 | 46 | 728,000 | 88,000 | 96 |
| New Hampshire | 2.3 | 16,675 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 14,027 | 52 | 360,000 | 47 | 320,000 | 60,000 | 93 |
| North Carolina | 2.3 | 122,153 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 2,176,000 | 51 | 2,272,000 | 96,000 | 99 |
| Ohio | 1.7 | 107,945 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 168,536 | 50 | 2,672,000 | 48 | 2,571,000 | 101,000 | 90 |
| Wisconsin | 2.4 | 75,395 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 205,772 | 53 | 1,606,000 | 46 | 1,404,000 | 202,000 | 98 |
| California | 13.6 | 2,819,355 | 54 | 39 | 15 | 1,992,938 | 59 | 5,573,000 | 39 | 3,636,000 | 1,699,000 | 69 |
| New York | 7.8 | 835,057 | 60 | 36 | 24 | 1,813,783 | 63 | 3,860,000 | 36 | 2,211,000 | 1,649,000 | 86 |
| New Jersey | 8.7 | 422,092 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 421,149 | 58 | 1,916,000 | 41 | 1,357,000 | 559,000 | 94 |
