Live Updates of Battleground State Returns vs. Potential APIA Voters

November 7, 2012

I made a table that helps compare an estimate of registered APIA voters against the margin of victory in the presidential race. I’ll be updating this table throughout the night as the returns come in.

Last updated: 1:00AM EST (last update of the night)

APIA Demographics

2012 Polling

2012 Returns

% Pop. Estimated # Registered Voters Obama % Romney % Margin % Margin (# Voters) Obama (%) Obama (# Voters Romney (%) Romney (# Voters) Margin (# Voters) Precincts Reporting (%)
National (popular) 5.6 9,526,471 49 48 1 1,293,917  50  59,971,000 48 57,304,000  2,667,000  98
Virginia 5.8 258,282 48 47 1 36,845 50  1,797,511 48  1,731,867  44,000  100
Nevada 7.7 115,332 49 46 3 28,397  52  529,000  46  462,000  67,000  93
Colorado 2.9 81,613 50 48 2 47,243  51 1,231,000  47 1,120,000  111,000  90
Florida 2.4 251,560 48 47 1 83,277  50 4,138,000  49 4,091,000  47,000  97
Iowa 1.9 32,001 48 45 3 45,340  52  816,000  46  728,000  88,000  96
New Hampshire 2.3 16,675 50 48 2 14,027  52  360,000  47 320,000 60,000  93
North Carolina 2.3 122,153 45 45 0 0  48  2,176,000  51  2,272,000  96,000  99
Ohio 1.7 107,945 50 47 3 168,536  50 2,672,000  48  2,571,000 101,000  90
Wisconsin 2.4 75,395 51 44 7 205,772  53  1,606,000  46  1,404,000  202,000  98
California 13.6 2,819,355 54 39 15 1,992,938  59  5,573,000  39  3,636,000  1,699,000  69
New York 7.8 835,057 60 36 24 1,813,783  63 3,860,000  36  2,211,000  1,649,000  86
New Jersey 8.7 422,092 53 42 11 421,149  58  1,916,000 41  1,357,000  559,000  94

Comment Policy

Before posting, please review the following guidelines:

  • No ad hominem attacks: A person's identity or background is not up for debate.
  • Be courteous: Respect everyone else in this space.
  • Present evidence: This space endeavours to encourage academic and rational debate around identity politics. Do your best to build an argument backed not just with your own ideas, but also with science.
  • Don't be pedantic: Listen to those debating you not just for places to attack, but also where you might learn and even change your own opinion. Repeatedly arguing the same point irrespective of presented counterfacts will now be considered a violation of this site's comment policy.
  • Respect the humanity of all groups: To elevate the quality of debate, this site will no longer tolerate (racial, cultural, gender, etc.) supremacist or inferiority lines of argumentation. There are other places on the internet where nationalist arguments can be expressed; this blog is not those places.
  • Don't be an asshole: If you think your behaviour would get you punched in the face outside of the internets, don't say it on the internets.
  • Don't abuse Disqus features: Don't upvote your own comments. Don't flag other people's comments without reasonable cause. Basically, don't try to game the system. You are not being slick.

Is your comment not approved or deleted? Here are some common reasons why:

  • Did you sign in? You are required to register an account with Disqus or one of your social media accounts in order to comment.
  • Did a comment get flagged? Comments will be default be published but flagged comments will be temporarily removed from view until they are reviewed by me.
  • Did you not play nice? You may have gotten banned and a bunch of your comments may have been therefore deleted. Sorry.

I monitor all comment threads, and try to address comments requiring moderation within 24-48 hours. Comments that violate this comment policy may receive a warning and removal of offensive content; overt or repeat violations are subject to deletion and/or banning of comment authors without warning.

I reserve final decision over how this comment policy will be enforced.

Summary:

Play nice and don't be a jerk, and you'll do just fine.